Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 19.031590 21.731515 24.800714 28.573791 33.122653 38.475117 45.317055
2025-08-24 15.328856 18.659216 22.780692 28.343649 35.794301 45.635888 59.983513
2025-08-31 13.008978 16.489594 21.039249 27.574996 36.989956 50.509919 72.291828
2025-09-07 11.523379 15.078621 19.932536 27.268909 38.503050 55.847098 86.430315
2025-09-14 10.092842 13.520909 18.355706 25.951391 38.149282 58.104689 96.027697
2025-09-21 8.923040 12.182879 16.903536 24.560782 37.359737 59.369046 104.066588
2025-09-28 8.119098 11.284333 15.983789 23.843409 37.502244 62.182481 115.822558
2025-10-05 8.314284 11.878004 17.378943 27.036276 44.911708 79.985201 165.711136
2025-10-12 8.026761 11.693188 17.512371 28.095891 48.628293 91.546732 206.819645
2025-10-19 7.416182 10.940297 16.635367 27.236122 48.456584 94.767855 227.701969
2025-10-26 7.188488 10.783369 16.734845 28.166603 52.059168 107.461211 282.636519
2025-11-02 6.778348 10.290431 16.206643 27.833316 52.919425 113.811642 321.473979
2025-11-09 6.368396 9.785116 15.642615 27.425713 53.701097 120.633448 368.518763
2025-11-16 6.024710 9.368543 15.202594 27.218415 54.932164 129.178525 429.833222
2025-11-23 5.645110 8.861021 14.549950 26.488310 54.780780 133.774177 478.814241
2025-11-30 5.358362 8.496223 14.130520 26.197715 55.663161 141.831806 552.768892
2025-12-07 4.978639 7.941519 13.309064 24.946218 53.880181 140.937074 579.844907
2025-12-14 4.621330 7.407464 12.491403 23.624272 51.719436 138.277050 595.772247
2025-12-21 4.366456 7.045390 11.982165 22.941895 51.174968 141.084090 649.538830
2025-12-28 4.536550 7.471425 13.048625 25.976806 61.554009 187.940169 1094.560987
2026-01-04 4.475461 7.460517 13.237632 26.982789 66.379492 216.465764 1486.392574
2026-01-11 4.244122 7.111784 12.705641 26.166582 65.446480 219.864386 1632.452683
2026-01-18 4.183445 7.087578 12.848077 27.049902 70.128269 251.629051 2241.924216